Could RFK Jr. Follow a Third-Party Path to the Presidency?

Created: JANUARY 25, 2025

Amidst claims that the Democratic Party is actively hindering President Biden's primary challenger, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., speculation abounds regarding Kennedy's potential viability in a general election. Historically, third-party presidential candidates have occasionally posed challenges to major party nominees, sometimes even influencing election outcomes.

A notable example is the 1992 election, where independent candidate H. Ross Perot, alongside his running mate Adm. James Stockdale, secured approximately 19% of the popular vote against incumbent George H.W. Bush and Democratic nominee Bill Clinton. Although Perot didn't win any electoral votes, many believe his candidacy contributed to Bush's defeat. This election marked the last time a sitting president lost re-election until Donald Trump's loss in 2020.

Perot Clinton

Perhaps the most successful third-party candidate was Theodore Roosevelt in 1912. Running as the Progressive Party nominee, he outperformed Republican incumbent William Howard Taft in electoral votes, but ultimately lost to Democrat Woodrow Wilson. This historical precedent raises questions about whether an independent route might be Kennedy's optimal strategy, potentially signifying a significant departure from his family's Democratic legacy.

On Fox News' "The Story," anchor Martha MacCallum highlighted Kennedy's use of podcasts, drawing parallels to John F. Kennedy's effective use of television during the 1960 debates against Richard Nixon. Co-anchor Dana Perino mentioned Kennedy's recent New Hampshire event, which attracted both Democrats and Republicans, indicating broader appeal. She noted the Biden campaign's initial dismissal of Kennedy's candidacy, which has since gained traction.

Nixon Kennedy

Kennedy's stance on vaccines has drawn criticism from some Democrats, although he has attempted to clarify his views in podcast interviews. Perino acknowledged Kennedy's understanding of public sentiment, but questioned his alignment with the Democratic Party. MacCallum cited polls revealing a significant portion of Americans identifying as independents, coupled with high disapproval ratings for both Trump and Biden. She referenced Kennedy's aim to unite the left and right through a populist movement.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. launches his presidential bid.

Kennedy's appeal to right-leaning voters stems from his skepticism towards federal healthcare bureaucracy regarding vaccines and mandates, while his environmental advocacy resonates with left-leaning voters. Perino acknowledged the difficulty of an independent bid, drawing comparisons to Perot and Roosevelt. She questioned Kennedy's commitment to the Democratic Party, suggesting a potential break might be necessary for a meaningful impact.

Perino emphasized the Democratic Party's tendency to unite behind their chosen candidate, even if reluctantly, as seen with Bernie Sanders in 2020. However, she noted Kennedy's significant support among Republicans, a factor that distinguishes him from Sanders. She concluded by praising Kennedy's active campaign style, contrasting it with Biden's limited public appearances and interviews.

Comments(0)

Top Comments

Comment Form