The Shifting Landscape of NIL Deals in College Sports: A Deep Dive

Created: JANUARY 26, 2025

The world of college sports has undergone a dramatic transformation with the advent of Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) deals. The market is booming, projected to reach approximately $1.7 billion in the 2024-25 season, according to Opendorse. College football leads the pack, poised to rake in $1.1 billion, followed by men's basketball at $389 million, women's basketball at $75 million, and Olympic athletes at $134 million.

This financial earthquake began in July 2021 when the Supreme Court ruled against the NCAA, declaring they couldn't bar student-athletes from profiting off their NIL. This decision ignited a legal firestorm between the NCAA and state legislatures, creating a complex and evolving legal landscape.

Rob Sine, CEO of Blueprint Sports, a company managing numerous high-profile collectives (booster-funded groups that pay athletes for appearances and endorsements), highlighted the interstate competition. "States are vying for the most attractive NIL regulations," Sine explained, noting the push and pull between states like Tennessee, Florida, and Texas as they enact, repeal, and re-enact laws. These collectives are estimated to command roughly 80% of the NIL market.

Sine emphasized the value collectives offer: "They provide a streamlined process for athletic departments, handling negotiations with athletes and agents, and managing contract intricacies, including transfers." Blueprint Sports manages collectives nationwide, including NC State's One Pack NIL, Colorado's 5430 Alliance, Pennsylvania’s Happy Valley United, and Arkansas’ Arkansas Edge. The varying state regulations add another layer of complexity, with collectives needing to navigate different rules in Pennsylvania, Arkansas, and North Carolina, while still adhering to NCAA guidelines.

The NCAA's initial 2021 guidance mirrored the Supreme Court ruling, permitting NIL payments where state law allowed, but aiming to prevent recruitment inducements. However, the evolving state laws and the emergence of collectives have blurred the lines. Senator Tommy Tuberville (R-Ala.), a former college football coach, lamented, "Recruiting has become outright buying." He co-sponsored the Protecting Athletes, Schools and Sports Act (PASS Act) with Senator Joe Manchin (I-W.V.) to address these concerns.

Image 1 of 2 (Courtesy: Blueprint Sports)

Image 2 of 2 (Courtesy: Blueprint Sports)

As states like California pioneered NIL legislation, others followed, some creating loopholes for donors to entice potential recruits. The NCAA responded in 2022, clarifying that schools could solicit donor funds for collectives, provided they weren't earmarked for specific athletes or sports. This prompted Alabama and South Carolina to repeal their initial laws, feeling disadvantaged in the recruiting arena.

Auburn Men’s Basketball Coach Bruce Pearl argued for national standards: "It's crucial for fair competition that everyone plays by the same rules. The current NIL landscape creates an uneven playing field." He highlighted the shift in recruiting priorities: "The focus has moved from academics, team culture, and professional development to market value and potential earnings."

Image 1 of 3 (Courtesy: Blueprint Sports)

Image 2 of 3 (Courtesy: Blueprint Sports)

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Texas further complicated matters with its 2023 law, permitting sport-specific donations and perks for NIL collective donors, while also shielding schools from NCAA penalties. Sine observed, "This has fueled an arms race, with donors and organizations seeking to gain a competitive edge through substantial NIL investments."

The updated transfer portal rules, allowing immediate eligibility for transfers, have intensified competition for talent. Tuberville cited Marshall University's football team, which saw mass player exodus via the transfer portal, forcing them to withdraw from a bowl game. He expressed concern over the impact on graduation rates and the overall student-athlete experience.

Image 1 of 2 (Courtesy: Blueprint Sports)

Image 2 of 2 (Courtesy: Blueprint Sports)

Cases like UNLV Quarterback Matthew Sluka, whose alleged $100,000 NIL payment went unfulfilled after transferring, further underscore the challenges. Pearl noted, "The combination of NIL and the transfer portal has created a free agency system, impacting graduation rates and prioritizing financial gains."

The legal framework surrounding athlete representation also varies by state, with many adopting the Uniform Athletes Agents Act but lacking NIL-specific provisions. Tuberville acknowledged the growing influence of agents, lawyers, and accountants in college sports.

The NCAA's recent move to allow direct university payments to players, capped at $20.5 million per school, adds another layer to this complex financial ecosystem. Tuberville stressed the urgency of finding a balanced solution, warning of potential program losses without collaborative efforts between the NCAA and stakeholders.

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