With Donald Trump's recent electoral victory, Brazil's Jair Bolsonaro, currently ineligible to run for office until 2030, sees a renewed glimmer of hope. Bolsonaro, dubbed the "Trump of the Tropics," was barred from running due to a ruling by Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court citing abuse of power and unfounded attacks on the electronic voting system. He and his supporters are actively exploring ways to overturn this decision, looking towards Trump's influence on the Brazilian political landscape.

Bolsonaro's son, Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro, expressed optimism about Trump's win, highlighting its potential positive impact on Brazilian democracy and global peace. He pointed to President Lula's pre-election criticism of Trump, contrasted with his subsequent congratulatory message, as an indicator of the shift in political dynamics. Eduardo believes Trump's victory will pressure Lula's administration, particularly regarding their alignment with China and discussions within the BRICS nations to challenge the dollar's dominance.

Eduardo Bolsonaro speaking at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Buenos Aires.

Trump's previously stated intention to impose 100% tariffs on countries attempting to undermine the dollar adds another layer of complexity to the situation. Eduardo Bolsonaro argues this stance will create tension between Lula and his business-oriented supporters, many of whom have significant trade ties with the U.S.

Bolsonaro and Trump during a meeting at the White House.

Beyond economic considerations, the shared ideological stance of Bolsonaro and Trump on free speech is another factor Bolsonaro hopes will contribute to his political comeback. Clashes between the Brazilian Supreme Court and figures like Elon Musk over censorship further highlight this alignment.

While recent polls suggest Bolsonaro maintains considerable support, his eligibility remains a significant hurdle. Political analyst Sandra Bronzina suggests Trump's victory could embolden the Brazilian right and potentially lead to a reassessment of measures like visa denials for members of the Brazilian Supreme Court. She also points to Lula's struggling economic policies as a potential factor that could swing public opinion back towards Bolsonaro.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at a ministerial meeting.

Congressman Marcel van Hattem echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the renewed hope within the Brazilian right and the potential for a strong showing in the 2026 elections. While the path forward remains uncertain, Trump's return has undoubtedly injected new energy into Bolsonaro's political aspirations.

Bolsonaro during a campaign rally.